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uncertainty


Obsessive Compulsive Disorder and the Quest for Certainty in Safety

March 7, 2026 by Prof. Robert Long 1 Comment

The repetition of rituals, habits and ceremonies offer comfort to those seeking certainty. This creates a sense of safety that is often accompanied by symbolic myths endorsed by narratives about linear being, order and control. The best way to know that this is a myth is when something goes wrong … [Read more...] about Obsessive Compulsive Disorder and the Quest for Certainty in Safety

Filed Under: Robert Long Tagged With: OCD, uncertainty

The Repression of Uncertainty

August 9, 2025 by Prof. Robert Long 2 Comments

The Repression of Uncertainty The belief is that the solution to every safety problem must be a rational systems process, hence the ever growing overload of paperwork in the workspace driving new cultural problems of ‘tick and flick’, overconfidence and ‘dumb down’ thinking. The most common words … [Read more...] about The Repression of Uncertainty

Filed Under: ALARP, Robert Long, Safety Leadership, Social Psychology of Risk, Wicked Problems, Zero Harm Tagged With: compliance, controls, heuristics, paperwork, repression, rules, Safety Talk, uncertainty, Zero Harm

Hazards and Controls – Risks and Uncertainty

June 18, 2024 by Prof. Robert Long Leave a Comment

There’s no doubt about it, Safety loves the language of ‘hazards’ and ‘controls’. It loves those hazard registers with thousands of listed hazards. And why does Safety love this language so much, because it creates the mystique of certainty. There is no certainty but the process creates a feeling of … [Read more...] about Hazards and Controls – Risks and Uncertainty

Filed Under: Robert Long Tagged With: uncertainty

Radical Uncertainty

June 24, 2023 by Prof. Robert Long 3 Comments

Radical Uncertainty I’m not an economist but we have much we can learn from other disciplines. Kay and King’s book Radical Uncertainty (2020) should be a compulsory read for safety people. Moreso, for anyone spruiking the nonsense of zero. Kay and King have produced an easy to read book on the … [Read more...] about Radical Uncertainty

Filed Under: Robert Long, Safety Books Tagged With: transdisciplinarity, uncertainty

The Focus Should Be on Risk, Not Safety

October 14, 2022 by Prof. Robert Long Leave a Comment

One of the central problems with Safety is its focus on safety, a temporary outcome. The real focus of Safety should be on risk, the permanent and continual presence of uncertainty on outcomes. By focusing on the outcome of safety, the industry misunderstands risk and devalues it and with the … [Read more...] about The Focus Should Be on Risk, Not Safety

Filed Under: Risk Myths, Robert Long Tagged With: risk, socialitie, uncertainty

The Certainty of Uncertainty

September 12, 2020 by Prof. Robert Long 2 Comments

The Certainty of Uncertainty I have written recently on the nature of uncertainty (https://safetyrisk.net/radical-uncertainty/) and its relationship to risk. I have also written about a psychosis that accompanies the fear of uncertainty … [Read more...] about The Certainty of Uncertainty

Filed Under: Covid-19, Mental health, Robert Long, Social Psychology of Risk Tagged With: BBS, choice, safety is a choice, uncertainty

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